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Triangle surges toward best in nation for 2020 real estate prospects

Triangle surges toward best in nation for 2020 real estate prospects

The Triangle has surged ahead once again in a new study by the Urban Land Institute and PricewaterhouseCoopers, coming in as the market with the second best real estate prospects in the nation going into 2020.

The report, Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2020, forecasts market prospects in the top 80 cities around the country, ranking top regions based on traditional factors such as size and growth as well as more complex indicators including the ability to withstand changes to changing economic conditions. 

This year the Triangle came in at No. 2 in the nation -- just behind Austin, Texas, -- for forecasted success in the coming year. Behind Raleigh/Durham was Nashville at No. 3 and Charlotte at No. 4. 

How Raleigh stacks up among top U.S. markets to watch

Here's how Raleigh stacks up among the top 10 U.S. markets to watch, according to the Urban Land Institute's and PricewaterhouseCoopers' 2020 Emerging Trends in Real Estate report.

The Triangle ranked No.1 in homebuilding prospects — just ahead of Charlotte at No. 2.

The report cited the Triangle’s boom in multi-family and suburban office sectors as well as the demand for housing and nearby higher education institutions.

“This market’s concentration of educational institutions — Duke University, the University of North Carolina, North Carolina State University, NC Central and several smaller colleges — coupled with the Research Triangle Park, has branded the area as a technology mecca,” the report reads. 

The region boasts over 89,000 tech jobs, putting it just third behind Silicon Valley and San Francisco. 

Additionally the rise in mixed-use, live-work-play developments has provided communities with new priorities for developing office and retail space -- something the Triangle continues to capitalize on in markets from the North Hills to Cary and Johnston County.

The report found demand for these types of spaces has increased as people across generations look to combat loneliness while the rise of the gig economy has made mixed-use spaces more conducive to workers.

But not all trends are looking up, and among the greatest challenges markets face across the country is housing.

Home prices continue to rise as construction, land and labor costs soar, with some markets seeing a drop in sales as affordability declines. 

The Triangle has seen some of this as well, though sales have more flattened than declined, and numerous reports throughout the year have testified to the health of the region's homebuilding industry

The report also mentions that markets are now late into an expansion cycle and past due for when a correction would normally be expected.

The study is ULI and PwC’s 41st since starting the Emerging Trends in Real Estate report.

Its results are based on three components:

  • A nationwide survey of ULI’s membership and other real estate industry leaders;

  • Face-to-face interviews by PwC researchers of more than 500 real estate industry leaders; and

  • Data gleaned from real estate markets across the country.

The study includes expert testimonies, graphics, statistics and more, sprinkling in the occasional advice on thinking about the passage of time — “time is a stream, not a frozen pond” — along with the occasional literary reference — “The game is afoot.”

The Triangle has risen on the list over the years, with ULI and PwC ranking the region at No. 3 in 2019 and No. 7 in 2017.

Full article HERE

Source: Triangle Business Journal

Southeast Multifamily Outlook Holding Strong

Several Southeast markets continue to top national lists for job and population growth, causing investors to pour capital into the region’s multifamily sector as they chase a new wave of demand that’s driving the current market expansion.

ARA and Berkeley Point Capital’s 2Q 2018 United States Multihousing Market Report includes several Southeast hubs among its top 25 for sales volume in the past 12 months: Atlanta ($7.3 billion); Orlando, Fla., ($5.6 billion); South Florida ($4.5 billion); and Charlotte/Raleigh–Durham, N.C., ($4.2 billion).

The Southeast also notched the largest per-unit pricing gains of any other region, at 8.6% year over year. Additionally, its key metros benefit from migration fueled by high income-tax–rate states, including New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and California.

Full article HERE

Source: Multifamily Executive

The U.S. Apartment Sector Would Continue to Remain Strong Even in a Recession

Even if there is an economic downturn in the near future, the apartment sector is likely to hold up, according to industry experts.

“Apartments are still resilient against a possible recession,” says Andrew Rybczynski, senior consultant for CoStar Group Portfolio Strategy.

Though the high end of the market may be feeling the strain of overbuilding, the sector overall is benefitting from long-term trends that should continue to fill apartment units for the foreseeable future.

“In 2005 and 2006, we knew we were living on borrowed time. We knew the fundamentals didn’t makes sense,” says John Sebree, director of the national multi housing group with real estate services firm Marcus & Millichap. “Today, the apartment industry fundamentals are so strong, I don’t think a potential recession would affect us that much.”

Full article HERE

Source: National Real Estate Investor

Blue Heron Closes Construction Loan for NC Property

Raleigh, N.C.-based private equity real estate investment and development firm Blue Heron Asset Management has closed a construction loan for Foster on the Park, a boutique mixed-use project to be developed in Durham, N.C. The loan was closed with First National Bank, the largest subsidiary of FNB Corporation.

Adjacent to Durham’s Central Park, Foster on the Park will be a 164-unit apartment community featuring ground-floor retail and restaurant space overlooking the park. The site is adjacent to the 1.7-million-square-foot Durham Innovation District. It is also situated steps from the Historic Durham Athletic Park, for decades the home of Minor League Baseball’s Durham Bulls and the filming location for the movie Bull Durham.

The existing building on site is functionally obsolete and underutilized and we didn’t see a whole lot of minuses pertaining to the redevelopment,” Blue Heron Asset Management partner Benjamin Grinnell told MHN.

The original plan was for an urban condominium project . . . While we believed in the urban living, for-sale thesis in Durham, there were some challenges in terms of certain pre-sale requirements, especially for a larger-scale condo project in the Durham market. Once we decided to switch o a mixed use—apartments and ground floor retail—project, the financing markets were much more receptive.”

Grinnell added that the entire Blue Heron Asset Management team worked diligently over several years to collaborate with the City of Durham, Durham Central Park, Downtown Durham Inc. and other local stakeholders.

Our focus has been on thoughtful place-making and trying to create a vibrant community with great walkability and access to downtown Durham’s growing job base, renowned dining, and its many lifestyle, recreation and entertainment amenities,” Grinnell reported. “Foster on the Park represents the types of infill re-development opportunities that we hope to continue to pursue and invest in.”

THRIVING DESTINATION

Added Chris Moore, president of FNB’s Raleigh-Durham Region: “We are pleased to provide the financing for Foster on the Park under the experienced leadership of Lewis Bass, our regional manager of investment real estate banking.

Contributing to our communities is part of our mission at FNB, and it is a privilege to partner in a project that builds on downtown Durham’s momentum as a thriving destination for residents, businesses and visitors alike.”

Financing was arranged by the HFF team of Roger Edwards, Justin Good and Henry Sisson. “Blue Heron secured one of the best sites in downtown Durham and [has] created an amazing project that we expect will be hugely successful,” Edwards said

We are excited to be a part of the team and contribute to making this great project a reality.”

Full article HERE

Source: Multi-housing News